# Permutations: what’s needed for a Toon top 10 finish?

##### Posted on May 20th, 2011 | 22 Comments |

**What are the permutations for Newcastle United’s finishing position this season?**

I am a bit of a geek and the thought of permutations makes me moist with anticipation. I therefore had to inflict said permutations upon NUFCBlog’s readers.

Realistically, we will finish somewhere between 9th and 14th in the Premier League this season.

The fact that a span of 5 places all rests on the final is perhaps an indication of how close things have been outside of the top 6 or so this season.

The matches that affect us this weekend are:

*Newcastle v West Brom (obviously)*

*Stoke v Wigan*

*Bolton v Man City*

And if we don’t win, the following matches could affect our finishing position too:

*Aston Villa v Liverpool*

*West Ham v Sunderland*

**If we lose** we have the easiest to work out – but least desirable – situation. The highest we can finish is 12th and we could end up as low as 14th if Villa take any points and/or Sunderland win (if Sunderland draw they can’t jump above us).

**If we beat West Brom** we will be on 48 points and finish at least 11th. Then if *either* Bolton *or* Stoke don’t win, we’ll finish 10th and if *both* Bolton *and* Stoke don’t win we’ll finish 9th.

**If we draw** we’ll finish with 46 points and we need *both* Stoke *and* Bolton to lose and Villa *and* Sunderland not to win in order to sneak into 10th place.

Of course if we won 8-0 then the Fulham v Arsenal game would come into play and we could finish 8th, but I think we can ignore that possibility!

If there are errors in the mathematics, please assume Worky did all the calculations, otherwise I’m happy to take responsibility!

Either way, even a 14th position finish is 3 above the 17th position we allegedly targetted at the start of the season.

Who knows what the summer will bring? Ashley is certainly unpredictable but I don’t share the opinion of the worst of the pessimists: I think we will get a wodge of money to strengthen the squad and I hope it’s used wisely so that we can look forward to next season with optimism.

**Howay The Lads!**

i am going for us to win on sunday…i am also going for ashely way less than the optimists think! 10 million tops..plus moving on enrique for ten million.. and barton for 3 million..so all i nall..he will net profit 3 million this transfer window.