# Where will Newcastle United finish this season?

##### Posted on January 19th, 2011 | 73 Comments |

**At the start of the season, finishing in 17th place was considered enough of a target for Newcastle this season. It is now clear, however, that we can aim a little higher than that.**.

Alan Pardew recently claimed that he wanted to *eventually threaten the top ten*, but I’m not too sure we’ll be all that far away from it this season.

We would surely have to suffer an almighty collapse of form or an unprecedented number of injuries (even for Newcastle) to consider a 17th place finish anything but disappointing.

I thought I’d take a look at the games we have left and try to estimate how many points we’ll end up with. Don’t trust my estimates though. I once ‘estimated’ that a Christmas tree I saw at a garden centre would fit in my house. It did, but only after I chopped 4ft off the top and 2ft off the diameter. It was more of a Christmas bush by the time I finished.

Nevertheless, I’ll have a crack. We have 16 games left to play – 8 at home and 8 away – and the following are my guesstimates as to how those games will go on a month by month basis:

**January**

Spurs (H) … draw

1 point from 3 for the remainder of the month.

**February**

Fulham (A) … draw

Arsenal (H) … lose

Blackburn (A) … lose

Birmingham (A) … win

Bolton (H) … win

7 points from 15 for the month.

**March**

Everton (H) … draw

Stoke (A) … lose

1 point from 6 for the month.

**April**

Wolves (H) … win

Villa (A) … win

Man U (H) … lose

Blackpool (A) … draw

Liverpool (A) … lose

7 points from 15 for the month.

**May**

Birmingham (H) … win

Chelsea (A) … lose

West Brom (H) … win

6 points from 9 for the month.

**Total**: 22 points from 48, which will give us 51 points and thus a typical finishing position (going by previous Premier League points v position estimates) of 8th – 11th.

Purely a guess of course and I think we stand a greater chance of taking more points than that than we do of taking less because I’ve erred on the pessimistic side.

**So what do you think? Any advance on 51 points?**

home form is the key of course if can get maximum from those games and have a good away form then we should be good